
In a week marked by rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, the performance of Indian tech giants Infosys and Wipro offered a surprising silver lining. Their American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) surged—Infosys by 2.2% to $18.82 and Wipro by 3% to $3.05—on the back of a broader Wall Street rally.
This market optimism emerged despite mounting concerns over Middle East instability. Typically, such geopolitical friction triggers a risk-off sentiment in global markets. Investors flee to safe havens like gold or U.S. Treasuries, while equity markets wobble. However, this time, a sharp retreat in crude oil prices appeared to calm investor nerves, signaling that market participants expect the conflict to remain contained.
For an uninitiated, an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a financial instrument that lets U.S. investors buy shares in foreign companies—without the hassle of dealing with overseas stock exchanges or currencies. Think of it as a passport for international stocks to trade in the U.S.
The Oil Angle and Sector Impact
Oil markets are often the first to react to Middle East disruptions. Earlier in the week, oil prices surged over fears of supply chain disruptions. But once those fears subsided and crude prices dropped, sectors reliant on stable energy costs—such as IT—regained favor. Lower oil prices reduce inflationary pressures globally and boost consumer and enterprise spending, indirectly benefiting export-oriented tech firms like Infosys and Wipro.In contrast to traditionally sensitive sectors such as aviation and chemicals, Indian IT companies are less exposed to crude volatility. Their operational strengths lie in providing outsourced digital services, primarily to U.S. and European clients. Thus, with commodity fears cooling and investor sentiment rebounding, tech stocks found themselves on the upswing.
Wall Street Confidence Spurs Tech Momentum
The rally in Infosys and Wipro ADRs mirrored broader optimism on U.S. bourses, where all three major indices posted gains. Investors seemed willing to look past geopolitical jitters, aided by strong domestic economic data and a belief that central banks may hold interest rates steady.This optimism extended to Indian markets as well. The Nifty IT index rose 1.6%, with all 10 of its constituents closing in the green. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), often first to exit during global instability, showed signs of resilience. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) continued to absorb supply, offering further support to Indian equities.
ADRs as Sentiment Barometers
American Depositary Receipts serve as a bridge between global companies and U.S. investors. For Infosys and Wipro, strong ADR performances suggest enduring investor confidence in India’s tech sector—despite international uncertainties. Since ADRs are dollar-denominated and trade during U.S. hours, they often respond faster to global news cycles than their Indian counterparts, offering early clues to market direction.The current rebound highlights a key theme: global investors are increasingly viewing Indian IT as a defensive, stable play in times of volatility. As risk appetite gradually returns, and with macro data outweighing conflict concerns (for now), companies like Infosys and Wipro stand to benefit from their reputation as consistent performers.