
A new University of Rhode Island (URI) study has revealed that India’s coastline is sinking at alarming rates, with some areas subsiding up to 44 mm per year. This widespread coastal subsidence, combined with sea-level rise, threatens millions of residents in low-lying regions, especially across the east coast deltas.
Key Findings from the URI Study
- Scope of study: First comprehensive satellite-based assessment of vertical land motion along India’s 7,500 km coastline.
- Data source: 8 years of Sentinel-1 radar satellite observations (2016–2024).
- Subsidence hotspots: Five major east coast deltas (including Ganga-Brahmaputra, Mahanadi, Godavari, Krishna, and Cauvery) and urban centers such as Kolkata, Chennai, and Visakhapatnam.
- Rates of subsidence: Maximum recorded: 44 mm/year in localized hotspots; widespread areas: 5–20 mm/year.
- Population at risk: 8.5 million people currently live in zones subsiding faster than 5 mm/year.
- Overall exposure: Over 200 million people reside within 100 km of India’s coastline, making them vulnerable to combined effects of sinking land and rising seas.
Impact Overview
| Factor | Details | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|
| Subsidence rate | Up to 44 mm/year | Severe in hotspots |
| Affected regions | East coast deltas, major coastal cities | High |
| Population exposed | 8.5 million in high-subsidence zones | Critical |
| Flood risk | Increased due to combined sea-level rise + sinking land | Extreme |
| Infrastructure | Ports, housing, agriculture, and transport corridors | Vulnerable |
Risks & Challenges
- Flooding: Low-lying areas face accelerated flood risks as subsidence compounds sea-level rise.
- Agriculture: Delta regions risk salinization and reduced productivity.
- Urban infrastructure: Cities like Chennai and Kolkata may see damage to roads, housing, and drainage systems.
- Resilience planning: Current coastal protection strategies may underestimate risks without factoring subsidence.
What Needs to Be Done
- Enhanced monitoring: Expand satellite-based land motion tracking across all coastal states.
- Urban planning: Integrate subsidence data into zoning, construction codes, and flood defenses.
- Community adaptation: Relocation or elevation of vulnerable settlements in high-risk zones.
- Policy action: Governments must update coastal resilience frameworks to include subsidence.
- Global relevance: India’s findings highlight the need for similar assessments worldwide.
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